Wetter and cooler weather is in store for the end of September as we discussed several weeks back. This could linger into the first and second of October. Rainfall for the next week will average 0.50 to 1 inch with isolated higher totals in the northern half of the state. Temperatures will average a few degrees below normal over the next week.
However, it appears October and November will resume the overall warmer and drier than normal pattern supporting harvest season. Temperatures are likely to be 1-4 degrees F above normal for October and November. Rainfall will likely be normal to 1 inch below normal.
The risk for fall freeze is normal to one to two weeks later than normal. Typically fall freeze dates range from Oct. 10 to Oct. 20 across much of the state.
The early winter outlook calls for a turn to slightly colder and wetter than normal conditions with snowfall slightly above normal. Hence, don’t expect a warm winter like last winter.
The NOAA/NWS/OHRFC 16-day rainfall outlook can be seen here (outlook) and calls for 0.50 to 1 inch southwest Ohio to 1-3 inches in northeast Ohio.