Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — October 17, 2017

We have no changes to the forecast this morning, and our pattern is on track for the rest of this week through Saturday. Sunshine and blue sky will dominate and we will see temps slowly but surely move upward. We will be near normal by midweek (tomorrow) and above normal to finish the week and weekend. Winds kick up late week, and we will see low humidity levels alongside excellent evaporation rates.

Our next front does try and move in late Sunday into Monday, but we feel it still has very little left in the tank as it arrives. As such, we are leaving our forecast basically alone, except we are dropping our coverage down to about 20% for Sunday night. We will stay warm and windy that day.

Next week still looks mostly dry. However, we have one time frame we are watching closely this morning. Some models late yesterday tried to bring a secondary surge of moisture up that old Sunday frontal boundary, bringing in some light rain for Monday evening and Tuesday. The model that is jumping on this the most is keeping most of the action over the northern half to third of Ohio, but even with that caveat, we think this “second wave” is unlikely. Our main thought right now is that we will have a very dry atmosphere, and if the original front is not strong enough to maintain moisture coming in from the west, then any second wave will have just as much trouble. At this time, we are leaving our forecast alone. However, if we see some other models jump on the bandwagon, it will be worth another look. So, for now, we are just running with the status quo, and looking for a dry week right on through the start of next weekend.

We do still see a nice strong front for the start of the extended period, for the 29th and 30th. This front looks potent. It could bring anywhere from .25”-1” of moisture to about 80% of the eastern corn belt, including Ohio. There will be significantly colder air coming in behind that front, and there is a chance we start of November a bit below normal.

But, for the rest of this week, we continue to see a significant harvest window opening, one that needs to be taken advantage of.

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