Another chilly start, but we have sun on the way today! And, we should see winds start to shift around to the south tonight, allowing temps to moderate more as we finish the week.
Sunshine will be here for tomorrow as well, and clouds wait to increase until late. Our next front is accelerating some, but we still look for our rain to be here through the day Saturday. Now, last weekend, the front we were expecting slowed, and we told you that was not a good thing for us. The opposite is true here. An accelerating front means that we have chances of seeing our rain totals diminish somewhat. We are dropping the top end of rain totals range so now we look for .1
-.6” over about 80% of the state.
Dry behind the front for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. We continue to look for a chance of frost Monday morning, but temps don’t look to be quite as impressive. Our feeling here is that clouds likely do not break up as much .Without the clearing, we likely are only going to be dropping into the 32-36 degree range in many places, meaning we are not categorizing it as a “hard” frost at this point. There can be pockets of colder air, but the clouds may hold just enough to keep us from truly bottoming out there. In fact, we think there will be decent clouds hanging around Monday and Tuesday as well.
We keep a trough in the forecast for midweek next week. Moisture does not look to be as impressive on this most recent model run, but in this pattern, where we see a trough or front sweeping through every few days, and where the pattern looks most active over the Great Lakes, we find ourselves hesitant to talk the wave down at this point. So, we will keep scattered showers in for midweek with a potential for .05”-.6” to about 80% of the state. This should be a fairly fast moving little wave. And, the risk here is that it speeds up, and we actually see moisture trend more toward Tuesday afternoon. We are keeping our eyes on it.
Dry for the balance of next week, but cool, and we have additional threats of frost. The next front moves into the region around the 4th with minor rain chances up to half an inch. A stronger front moves in for the extended period, right now looking at the 8th and 9th. The system could bring up to .75” to the state. No significant changes this morning. The most suspect part of the upcoming 10 day forecast is midweek next week…if there is a period ripe for changes…it will be there.