Heavy rains will be exiting the state through the first half of the day today. We can see an additional half to 1” or more over central and eastern parts of Ohio this morning, but by noon, we should be done with rain in almost all areas. Clouds will try and break for sun in western parts of the state already before midday, but will take longer to break in the east. Overall, today will begin a transition to a pattern dramatically different to the warm temps and heavy rains we have seen over the past 24-36 hours.
Tomorrow, we continue to see temps pull back a bit more, and we should see more sunshine. In fact, temps continue to stair step down into midweek, when we hit a below normal level that we find ourselves staying at through the rest of the week. The good news is that we should see sunshine dominate too, right on through the weekend, and we have a nice, dry weather pattern setting up for the week. Clouds will increase late Sunday afternoon through the overnight into next Monday, but we do not think there is much of a precipitation threat at this time. That seems to get wrung out a little farther to the west, over Indiana.
Mostly dry Monday and Tuesday. We see a warm frontal boundary bringing some rains in to northern Ohio around the 15th. These rains do not look overly impressive at this time, but may yield a few hundredths to .2”. Coverage will be 40% of area from US 30 northward, although clouds will cover nearly all of the state. This will be the first part of a significant storm complex that should move in as we move forward into the extended forecast window. The cold front associated with this system will finally push in around the 17th and 18th, and may bring half to 1” rains to 80% of the state.
Temps are on the way down this week, but will stabilize for the second half of the week and weekend at normal to below normal levels. They should stay in that general zone through next week, but we will see temps start to climb at the end of the 10 day period and through at least the first part of the 11-16 day forecast window, as that next strong circulation slowly moves in.