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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast – December 19th

Ryan Martin 171219

No change in the outlook today. We still look pretty good for the next few days. We dry out, stay above normal for temps, and see better sunshine chances through Thursday. Winds go west at a moderate clip today, and stay like that through Thursday as well

Friday, winds turn more southwest, and clouds move in. Friday itself we do not see an exceptional amount of precipitation – only a few hundredths to a tenth or two over about 40% of the state. But, that action ramps up overnight Friday night through Saturday morning, where we see rains of .25”-.75” over 90% of the state. There still a threat of thunderstorm action down in far southern Ohio, near the river. In those areas, we can see some rain totals pushing closer to 1”.

For the rest of Saturday and most of Sunday we dry back down, but we see much colder air starting to push in from the NW. Precipitation continues to flow up the old, slowing, stalling frontal boundary over KY and areas south, but at this point, we do not expect any of it to get into the state. Sunday is very cold in the north, but only slightly below normal in the south. Christmas day continues to be the wild card. We actually have good cold air in over all of the state, and the track of moisture from the southwest actually sets us up much better for Christmas Day snow than our neighbors to the west. Right now, we think we need to be on the lookout for anywhere from a couple of inches all the way through 10 inches for Christmas. This means a large part of the state may end up with white Christmas potential. The map above is a map of 24 hour snow totals from the night of Christmas Eve through sunset Christmas night. This map is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST!! This is a forecast that we will be refining as we move through the rest of this week, but for now, we need to start planning on some inclement weather on Christmas Day. IT may not be enough to cause major problems in all areas, but it could cause some issues in parts of the state, and it will be nothing like what we have for the next couple of days either. And still, even with the potential for snow here, perhaps the bigger story will be the brutal cold for next week. From Tuesday right on through the end of the week, temps will be well below normal, and will be the coldest of the season to this point.

In the extended period, we see another strong storm circulation developing in the southern plains for the New Year’s weekend. Current track is far south, but we continue to watch this one for an adjusting track that may start off 2018 with a significant winter event. Stay tuned!

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