Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast – January 18th, 2018

AUDIO: A Weather Update for January 18th, 2018

Another chilly day over Ohio today, although not as cold as the past couple of days. South and southwest winds will be in for tomorrow on through the weekend, and that is where we see the big time warming statewide. We should see fully normal to above normal temperatures in over the entire state Friday and Saturday, with 50s likely in most areas for Saturday and perhaps Sunday. We still expect Saturday to be the warmest day of the next several with Sunday a close second. We just feel that better sunshine potential Saturday will give it the edge.

Plenty of clouds blanket the state for Sunday with scattered, hit and miss light rains developing and running right on through midday Monday. Moisture totals will be a few hundredths to a tenth or two maximum with coverage of these light spits and sprinkles at 60% of the state. A large part of the coverage will be skewed to the northern half of Ohio. Heavier rains will hold off until later Monday afternoon and mostly Monday evening going through midday Tuesday as our next cold front finally arrives. Rain totals are pegged at .25”-.75” over 80% of the state, unchanged from yesterday’s forecast. Along with the rains, we expect strong south winds averaging 15-30 mph as the front crosses Ohio. The map above is an updated look at potential storm total rains for the Monday-Tuesday period.

Colder air comes in behind the front and we can see some lake effect snows linger in northern and especially northeastern Ohio off and on through the balance of Tuesday and most of Wednesday. This will be limited to usual suspect areas, and will not have coverage of any more than 10% of the state. Nothing likely gets south of US 6, and most of the state sees a dry day Wednesday with clouds giving way to afternoon sun. Still, the cool air will take temps back to normal and slightly below normal levels, and a major cold air blast is not likely. We are dry in all areas Thursday and Friday, with clouds increasing late Friday and Saturday.

A strong front is making an appearance right at the end of the 10 day window now. We think this is the first wave of a strong storm complex we have been talking about for the period in and around the 28th. So, we look for rain to make a run at far western parts of Ohio next Saturday the 27th. In all reality, though, the bulk of that moisture holds off until Saturday night and goes into the 28th. Rain totals can be from .25”-1” in that period. . Temps look warm enough to have most of this precipitation come as liquid. Then, a second wave may look to arrive later the 28th and holds on through the 29th. That second wave could be worth half to 1 inch of liquid equivalent precipitation, but cold air is marching in too, so we are leaving the door open to some snow from the second part of the system. The rest of the extended period features a clipper near the turn of the month, around the 1st, with some quick hit snow and cold air, and then a cold Canadian high to start off February. So, the pendulum swings wildly on temperatures through the next week or so, but eventually goes to the cold side and stays there a bit longer going into February.

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