West-southwest winds will help temps climb today, and that moderating push holds through the weekend. . We see the entire state above freezing today and tomorrow and most of the state should be well above normal all weekend. Tomorrow, temps should do a little better than today, but still we fall short of last week’s thaw levels. We still look for a lot of snow melt in the coming days
Clouds build for Sunday, but precipitation should be somewhat limited. Scattered light moisture should slowly overspread the state, particularly Sunday afternoon and evening. Spits, sprinkles and drizzle may amount to a few hundredths to .1” over 50% of the state, and the best chances will be over the northern half to third of Ohio. This will be enough to make for a bit of a damp feel, and to keep us from feeling warmer than Saturday. Our cold front finally arrives midday Monday and brings rain through midday Tuesday. We like rain totals of .25”-.75” with 90% coverage. These rains have been well advertised, and we are not moving away from our prior forecast here. Keep the umbrella handy. The map above shows potential rain totals through Tuesday evening.
As cold air pushes into the state behind the frontal boundary, we think there will be a good deal of lake effect cloudiness possible for the balance of Tuesday and Tuesday night. The best chances for light snow will be seen over the eastern third of the state, and of course, most likely in far NE Ohio. Eastern locations can see a coating to an inch overnight Tuesday night, and northeast areas can see several more inches in the right conditions. Western areas likely see only a few flurries in the current set up. Cold air is in for the balance of Tuesday night right on through Thursday morning. However, southwest winds come back as we progress through next Thursday. From here forward, we are making a few subtle changes to our forecast this morning.
The next front we are watching shows up overnight Thursday night into Friday with rains from .25”-.5” over about 80% of the state. Temps will be warm enough to produce all liquid precipitation in the heaviest high areas, but we have to watch for some rain-snow mix in the east during the overnight part of the storm evolution. , This is just the first wave of several to come. Very early Saturday morning we see a second wave bringing half to 1” rains to all of the state through the balance of Saturday. . This moisture comes in with mild temps still in place. Then, we have a third wave, complete with another low pressure center moving over the region for the