Today should be the coldest day of the week over most of the state. We saw cold air start to blast in behind a second cold front yesterday, and today, Canadian high pressure drifts right over the top of Ohio. This will keep temps mostly below freezing over a majority of the state, but down south we can see temps do slightly better. We also expect more sun through the day today than we have seen this week so far.
Tomorrow will not see good southwest winds develop until late in the day. So, we likely see temps a little better than today, but will put full moderation of temps off for 1 more day. The winds pick up in intensity going into Friday, and that will be where we see the biggest temperatures jump. Friday temps will be well above normal statewide, followed by similar conditions Saturday
Rains move into Ohio later Saturday in the afternoon, although clouds build sooner than that. Rains Saturday into early Sunday still look to be from .25”-1”, with the lower end of the range north and west, and the upper end of the range in south and east. The map shows rain totals through midday Sunday. Cold air rushing in behind the front for Sunday still looks like it will not catch up to some of the moisture over the eastern part of the state, so at this time, we are taking mention of snow out of our Sunday forecast. The moisture looks to be more compact along this front and not drawn out, so that limits the chances. In fact, we see no serious precipitation by Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening. . However, cold air will move over the state Sunday, as Canadian high pressure returns and temps go below normal.
North and northwest winds may create a bit of lake effect snow on Monday, but accumulations are minor. The normal lake effect areas will be watched closely, but only flurries are expected in many areas.
Southwest winds are back for Wednesday, making another high on our temperature roller coaster. WE expect above normal temps for Wednesday and Thursday as we flip the calendar. However, those southwest winds at midweek may be running from 15-30 mph, meaning wind chills will be in play and it will not be an exceptionally nice set up. Still, 40s and 50s can move in under the right circumstances.
Strong winds usually signal a significant event upcoming. And, as we move into the 2nd, we could be looking at a very interesting storm complex. We had been watching a significant event for late the 3rd into the 4th, and that looks to come a little quicker now. The European model has nearly all the moisture coming with the cold air, meaning we would be looking at epic snows. However, other models are not as sure as of yet. An all snow set up looks tantalizing, but also does not look right to us this morning. We think we will see rain to start, and then a changeover to snow as cold air arrives. But, either way, the liquid available to this system would be upwards of 1 inch, meaning whatever happens, liquid equivalent precipitation will be significant. This is a system to watch, and we will be quick to update our thoughts as we move forward.
The extended period has a minor clipper for the 4th into the 5th, and another clipper around the 8th. Cold air will be in for the entire area as we start off February, and that means these clippers will likely bring additional light snow.