Temps begin to moderate a little bit today as southwest winds slowly emerge. Winds today will relatively light, but winds tomorrow will ramp up and be rather gusty. Tomorrow will see the biggest jump in temps, and we will see all areas of the state above normal.
Rain develops late Saturday afternoon and continues through the overnight into early Sunday. However, the heaviest rain potential looks to stay farther south, likely south of the Ohio River. So, we are taking our rain totals down some this morning, calling for .1”-.6” over 70% of the state. In fact, northwest parts of Ohio may even completely miss out on the moisture this Saturday. Cooler air will move over the state Sunday, as Canadian high pressure returns and temps go below normal.
We still have relatively strong north and northwest winds for Monday that can trigger some lake enhanced snow, but generally speaking, this event looks pretty weak this morning too. We will not take snow or flurries out of the forecast for Monday, but we do not look for any accumulation to speak of. Temps Monday remain below normal through all of Ohio.
Southwest winds are back for Tuesday night through Wednesday, making another high on our temperature roller coaster. We expect above normal temps for Wednesday and Thursday as we flip the calendar. However, those southwest winds at midweek may be running from 15-30 mph, meaning wind chills will be in play and it will not be an exceptionally nice set up. Still, 40s and 50s can move in under the right circumstances.
Moisture returns for late Thursday afternoon, February 1. However, cold air also comes racing back in as well. At this point, we still think there is potential for a batch of significant snow around the 2nd. It still may start as a bit of rain, but cold air gets in very quickly. There is less available moisture this morning, but this system is far from organized. At this time, we will continue to keep the door open for .25” to 1” of liquid equivalent precipitation. That could yield some impressive snow. Somewhere in the Eastern Corn belt we will see a significant snow event. But, as with all major snow storms…track is the most important feature to hone in on.
The extended period has a minor clipper for the 4th into the 5th, and another clipper around the 8th. Cold air will be in for the entire area as we start off February, and that means these clippers will likely bring additional light snow.