Rains continue today over the state, focusing more on the northern half of the state. We look for rain totals of .2 to .5” from US 30 northward. We can’t rule out rains a little farther south into west-central Ohio. ,
Tomorrow we have a strong front finally pushing in, and it will bring better rains to all locations. We see .25-.75” rain totals over 90% of the state. The higher end of the range will be in northern and NW parts of the state, where thunderstorms are likely after midnight tonight through early tomorrow. Rains continue through the rest of the day as the front pushes south and east, but action loses its serious punch in the afternoon. We won’t rule out thunderstorms re-firing tomorrow evening in SW Ohio, but in general, we think it will take a more significant wave of action Thursday morning to generate moisture.
We are putting more rain in on Thursday over southern Ohio as that stronger wave moves out of southern Indiana into southern Ohio. We like rains of .25”-1” from I-70 southward, and Thursday afternoon perhaps a few hundredths to .25” in NE parts of the state. North central and NW Ohio likely miss out on Thursday.
From there on out, our forecast is unchanged. On Friday we have another wave coming up from the southwest. This will bring rains of .5”-2” to areas south of US 30, Far northern areas of Ohio should miss out on that system.
Saturday, scattered showers are back with .25”-.5” over 80% of the state, and a few hundredths to a quarter of an inch in the remaining areas.
Sunday has rains of .5”-.75” over the 80% of the state, but action is leaving quicker. We think rains will be done by shortly after noon, and we should start to dry Sunday afternoon and evening. The map above shows cumulative rain totals through Sunday evening. The aforementioned dryness continues for the first half of next week. We should be able to be dry weather through Wednesday of next week. One little hiccup is expected on Tuesday, when we see a few scattered showers meander through northeast Ohio.
A strong system returns for the start of March on Thursday the 1st, pushing into the 2nd. This system brings rains again, with half to 1.5” potential on the conservative side. Late in the 11-16 day window we have a cold front that crosses the around the 6th with rain potential of half to 1.25”