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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — February 6, 2018

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Snow moves across the state today and we will see some accumulation. Beyond that, we are making a few minor changes to the rest of our forecast this morning, but the pattern itself remains mostly unchanged. If anything, we are promoting a forecast that has slightly lower precipitation totals for the week…but probably not enough to really make a difference. Today’s snows will produce mostly a coating to 2 inches from I-70 northward. It is a fairly fast moving system and should be trying to exit the eastern part of the state early this afternoon.

Snow is back in Ohio very early tomorrow morning and will continue through about 5 pm. This system is tracking across the state from SW to NE and will produce precipitation along that kind of line. We expect a coating to 2 inches in NW Ohio, and anywhere from 2-5 inches along an expanding channel either side of a line from Cincinnati to just north of Wheeling. The track of the storm has brought the heaviest snows north out of KY and now into parts of Ohio for tomorrow.

Dry, cold weather is in for Thursday, with an expectation of subzero temps for Thursday morning over some localized parts of northern Ohio. .

Our next snow event moves on Friday, mainly from I-70 northward in Ohio. There we see 1-3 inches followed by a lot of clouds for Friday night into Saturday. A second wave of this event comes on Sunday, bringing a coating to 2 inches of snow to NW Ohio, and then mostly rain south and east of a line from Sandusky to Celina. Temps will moderate considerably for the Sunday midday and afternoon period, leading to the light rains.

We turn colder Sunday evening, and then stay dry and cold for Monday through Wednesday. We can see below zero temperature readings overnight Sunday night into Monday morning, and single digits 24 hours later.

Even though this forecast seems somewhat unimpressive and scaled back this morning, we still are looking at cumulative snow totals being somewhat impressive by the end of the week. We are still projecting 4-10” over all parts of the state expect the southernmost 20% of the state by the end of the day Sunday. The map above is a new look at potential snow depths as of Sunday afternoon, but keep in mind, our forecast also is calling for temps above freezing by then, so the snow depth map here does not completely tell the story of the week.

No change in our extended 11-16 day forecast. Dry weather for next week continues through the 18th. However, a powerful low comes out of the central plains and moves across our region for the 19th and 20th, and it can bring half to 1.5” of liquid equivalent precipitation potential.

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