The biggest story this morning is the snow that is flying across the state. Plentiful cold air is blasting into the region, and we have snow moving through associated with an upper level low pressure circulation. This wrap around moisture holds over the state through this afternoon, although the heaviest snows in western and SW Ohio are already winding down, having happened overnight. Snow accumulations of a coating to 3 or 4” are likely with 80% coverage through today, and we may even see some slightly higher totals, as more moisture has wrapped into the upper low. The map above is cumulative snow totals from last evening through this evening. Snow ends this evening as the nor’easter for the east coast moves north and out to sea. Temps remain cold for tomorrow and Friday, though. Sunshine will slowly return, and we should be dry through Friday.
Our next system is still on track for a Saturday midday arrival, and it will linger through the first half of Sunday. We are still looking at .25”-5” rain totals over the region this weekend, but should miss out on the heavier stuff back to the west, as the track of moisture is more southeast into Kentucky. We still think that cold air will be the bigger part of this story for Sunday and that we have to leave wet snow in the forecast as the system moves out. Minor accumulations are likely, meaning this start to spring will be nothing spring, and almost everything like winter!
Dry for Monday of next week, but we have another system coming in for overnight Monday night through Tuesday. This event can bring .25”-.75” precipitation to 70% of the state, with the heaviest action seen over central and southwest Ohio. Models are less confident in how the pattern unfolds from there, bringing moisture in sooner for Wednesday and less moisture for Thursday. At this point, we think it best to look at the entire midweek period next week and say we expect 2 waves of moisture to come through. Totals will be anywhere from .1”-.6” with 70% coverage…but timing of each wave is a little up in the air. We should still be on track to get a dry day in for next Friday.
Moderate to heavy rains arrive for Easter weekend on the 31st and 1st. We are raising rain totals to .5”- 2” over 100% of the state. This will be a very moisture laden system. But then we go dry for the 2nd through the 5th for the remainder of the extended forecast window.