Wet snow showers are moving across the state for the first part of today, but we should see some improvement by this afternoon. Clouds will dominate the region today, and cold air is not going anywhere, so we won’t rule out some wet snowflakes here and there this afternoon, although the most organized action is going to be off to the east.
Cold air will be the main feature of the rest of the week. That cold air mixes with a little bit of moisture coming in from the NW tomorrow, and will trigger some light snow and flurry action statewide. We look for 70% coverage, and there is the potential for a coating to an inch or two of general accumulation, while north central and northeast parts of Ohio can see 2-5 inches due to lake effect and enhancement. The snows for midweek look better here than to our west, and that is a testament to the cold air that sits over the top of us. Wednesday will likely be a day with some travel and weather challenges. Temps will struggle to break the lower 30s tomorrow, Thursday and Friday over nearly all of the state. Only far south central Ohio has a chance to run toward 40. Thursday we should see sunshine reappear over western Ohio areas, but we stay chilly right on through Friday.
Our next system is still on track for the start of the weekend. However, it is coming a little faster, and we see precipitation breaking out early Saturday morning over the southwest areas of the state. The heaviest rains will be in far south central Ohio, near the river, where we can see up to a quarter of an inch. The rest of areas that see scattered showers will be more like a few hundredths to a tenth or to. The closer you get to I-70, the lesser chance of rain we have Saturday, and north of I-70, we should stay dry. Another surge of rain brings up to half an inch of moisture to southeast Ohio Sunday, but the rest of the state just features a mix of clouds and sun.
Dry weather remains in our forecast for next Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. Next thus day we start to see some light precipitation come in from the west, the likely leading edge of our system for the 16th. Moisture totals do not look all that impressive yet, but we expect the system to strengthen. For the rest of the extended period, moderating temps are expected with normal and above normal temperatures in for most of the second half of the month. We continue to watch a system for the 20th and 21st, where we can see some rains of half to 1 inch at least. Strong southwest flow in the extended 11-16 day forecast window will lead to a slightly higher chance of stormy weather.