Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — April 18, 2018

Sun this morning will be followed by increasing clouds this afternoon as low pressure moves into east central IN by early to mid-afternoon. This low will bring moisture back into Ohio later this afternoon and then we see action holding through evening, overnight and into tomorrow morning. Moisture has about 60% coverage, and will be most significant over the northern half to third of the state. Moisture does not look that impressive, still under a quarter of an inch for the most part, although a few locations may push closer to a third. Liquid precipitation is expected through evening but temps fall tonight, meaning after midnight we may be able to see some mixing or change over to light wet snow. We do not expect any problems, and the wet snow will be limited in coverage. Precipitation in generally will mostly be over the northern half of the state and we can see the best wet snow chances tonight and tomorrow morning mostly near the lake. Temps do not look to fall off too far overnight, and that will help keep snow at a pretty low threat.

We dry down and see clouds break up tomorrow afternoon and se should see sunshine in full force ahead of sunset. We then keep a dry pattern in our forecast dry for Friday through the weekend and through a good chunk of next week. For us in Ohio, the key day to watch will be Tuesday…mostly in the afternoon. The storm complex that we have been watching continues to fall apart. At this point, we don’t want to take action completely out, because we can see a few scattered showers over about 40% of the state. But, we are talking moisture of a tenth of an inch or less in that 40% coverage zone…which is down significantly from earlier this week. There is a good chance that most of us miss the action Tuesday. If that turns out to be the case, we will have a nice, long dry window emerging, as our next batch of moisture probably holds off until late on Friday night or next Saturday. So, keep your fingers crossed!

There is still a good chance of moisture with a strong system around the 28th into the 29th. Moisture totals are not as impressive this morning, but we still are leaving the door open to some rains from .25”-1” over 70% of the state. Then we have an unsettled finish to the 11-16 day forecast window. Models are unsure how to handle moisture, but we do expected at least one more strong front between the 2nd and the 4th. The front likely has some strong to severe weather potential and can bring rains up to 1”. Timing is the main uncertain part to precipitation in early May.

Temperatures likely do not get quite as cold as what we saw Monday again. However, we are still projecting a mostly below normal temperature profile through the end of the month. A couple of moderating days will be in there, but generally, we stay cool. Keep in mind, normal temps are rising, rather rapidly this month, as we pointed out before…but still, we do not see any significant above normal warming coming for at least several more weeks.

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