No significant changes this morning to our nearby forecasts. We have scattered showers and light rain hanging around through the day today and it will finally be moving away to the east tomorrow morning. We can see additional rain totals of .25”-.5” today in the heaviest areas, and a few hundredths to a tenth or two elsewhere. Rain coverage approaches 70% today.
We turn drier tomorrow as rain leaves the region. Clouds linger over the state through at least the first half of the day, but we should see sunshine eventually win out. We are dry for all of Thursday and the start of Friday as well. Our next front is still on track for late Friday afternoon and evening, but it is showing less moisture as it moves through. Right now we are pulling rain totals back to a few hundredths to .25”, still over 90% of the state. This will be a welcome change, as it really will allow for shorter delays in fieldwork. Temps do move cooler behind the front.
A nice dry window holds from Saturday afternoon through the balance of the weekend, Monday and Tuesday. Temps will slowly build from slightly below normal levels to near normal by the end of Tuesday.
A strong cold front passes next Wednesday. This front brings rains of .5”-1” over 90% of Ohio. There can be some good thunderstorm action with this front. Rains finally end early Thursday morning. Models are starting to suggest this morning that this front could also be less impressive, much like our Friday front. However, we think that most of the lack of moisture is coming from a perceived lack of thunderstorm action, an idea we are not keen on leaving just yet. IF we see strong winds push up the leading edge of the front, there should be ample chances for instability to develop. So, we are leaving rain totals alone for now, but will continue to monitor.
As mentioned yesterday, the extended period has a nice dry window from next Thursday afternoon right on through the 8th. Cooler Canadian air will be moving in for the period, but we still should be warm enough to spur decent evaporation and a return to fieldwork, so long as moisture stays at bay.