Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — April 5, 2018

Partly sunny and cold today. Winds may not be as strong as yesterday, but will still be out of the NW.

We are watching a quick moving little wave coming in for overnight tonight. From midnight through late morning tomorrow we have light snow coming back into northern Ohio .We are looking for a coating to no more than 2 inches from US 30 northward. Coverage will be about 60%, but most snow totals will be to the lower end of the range as well. The best chance for the upper part of the range will be in NE Ohio where the lake can enhance the snow chances.

Most of the state turns out partly sunny on Friday. However, this respite will be short lived. Light snow is back into the state Friday evening, and this quickly turns into a north vs. south event. Light snow can bring a coating to an inch or two north of a line from Hamilton to Chillicothe to Marietta Friday evening through early Saturday morning. South of that line, we can see significantly higher totals with moderate to heavy snow. 2-5” or more can fall, particularly near the river. The best will be falling from early Saturday morning through midafternoon. Gear up for a mess in southern Ohio on Saturday.

High pressure moves over in and sets up for us from Saturday afternoon through Sunday. This should give us some good sunshine to finish the weekend.

Our next system arrives Monday, but we will feel effects of this front through Tuesday. On Monday we see light snow moving across 60% of the state, giving a coating to an inch or so. Light snow lingers over the eastern third to quarter of Ohio overnight Monday night and it may end up having some rain mix in. Then Tuesday, we have a light rain and snow mix for a large part of the state. Precipitation totals will be from a few hundredths to .2” liquid equivalent, but we do expect some of that to be briefly accumulating snow.

We are dry Wednesday through Thursday mid-morning. Then, rains return (yes, RAIN!!). But, they look to have the potential to be heavy. Right now we are looking at two waves coming through for Thursday and Friday, bringing combined rains of 1-2.5’ over 80% of the state. The heavier wave will be on Friday. Then we get a few dry hours Saturday.

In the extended window, we have .5”-1.5” rains for late next Saturday afternoon (14th) through Sunday (15th). These rains will have 100% coverage over the state. Spits and sprinkles linger for the 16th. Then, (and let’s not get too excited…this is far enough out it can easily change) we may be able to put together our longest dry stretch of the month! We see no precipitation for the 17th-18th-19th. Rain is back for the 20th, bringing .25”-.75”

Temperatures stay cold for the next week. We will be 10-20 degrees below normal now through next Wednesday. Then, we see temps climb quickly to above normal levels (in time to fuel the rain and thunderstorms) next Thursday and Friday. Behind that we are back to normal and below normal levels for the following weekend. The combination of cold air this week, ample moisture, and really only 2 above normal days out of the next 17 bring us to no change in our field work estimate: not getting in there for a while yet! Ten day moisture totals are below.

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