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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — April 9, 2018

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Precipitation broke out early this morning and spread east over most of the state as a minor wave of low pressure pushed into the eastern corn belt. The actual low looks to track north into the great lakes, but we still will see some light snow hold on over the state through part of the day. Generally speaking, we will see limited precipitation once we get past late morning, but we won’t rule out minor snows right on through this afternoon. Totals will be a coating to an inch at best, with coverage at 60% of the state. We do not see this moisture lingering for long, though. In fact tomorrow and Wednesday both look better with some sunshine working though. However, chilly air will be difficult to get rid of.

Action on Thursday looks to be diminished for Ohio. Low pressure tracks north through the great lakes and bringing moisture to WI, MI and Ontario. Some of this will sag south over the northern third of Ohio, but rain totals will be limited to a few hundredths to .25”. This is significantly lower than our concerns last week, and it all has to do with the low tracking farther north. For the most part, action likely will be limited to areas from US 30 northward. Temps will begin to moderate, though, as strong south and west winds come in with this circulation passing to the north.

Clouds mix with some sun on Friday, and while we can’t rule out a renegade shower, we do think that most of the region stays dry. Saturday still looks wet, with the potential of .25”- 1” rains over 60% of the state. That coverage is down somewhat from our last look, and it is due to several bigger holes opening up in coverage as the front sweeps through. But, we do see the front slow and moisture flow increase out of the south on Sunday, meaning we can add another .25”- .75” over 80% of the state on Sunday. That brings combined totals for the 2 day period to 1”-2”.

Dry Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week to finish out the 10 day period with high pressure in over the region. This is a Canadian high, though, so while temps may not be as cold as the start to this week, we do not see a major above normal surge coming. The map above shows total 10 day cumulative precipitation.

Good news…our extended window seems to be trying to trend drier. Cooler air holds through the end of next week, but we also do not pick, up significant precipitation. There is a very strong lower pressure complex in the grain plains for the 21st, and it looks like it will spread some .25”-1.25” rains into the eastern corn belt late the 22nd into the 23rd. Models suggest lingering clouds, cool air and sprinkles through the 24th, and then a cooler Canadian high back in for the balance of April. So, while the cool temps do not promote as fast of dry down, we at least see lower threats for new moisture in the extended period.

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