Rains continue over Ohio today. While a cold front is moving east, it likely will not work through the entire state until late tonight. We are looking for additional rains of a tenth to .35″ over 80% of the state today. Winds will shift to the west and northwest as the front comes through, but still may be a bit strong.
Dry weather dominates the region overnight tonight and tomorrow. We should be clear through Saturday and have sunshine to start the weekend. On Sunday, we see a minor disturbance coming back across the great lakes and eastern Corn Belt. This system does not have a significant amount of moisture with it, but will bring lots of clouds, and can trigger light rains. From midday Sunday through Sunday night we see a few hundredths to .25″ of rain, but most of it will be limited to NW Ohio. AT this point, it would be best to paint it as 30% coverage of the entire state. The key here is that while this moisture is not impressive, if we see clouds and even minor moisture on Sunday afternoon, we are we not seeing any drying.
We are dry with sunshine for Monday-Tuesday-Wednesday. Temps will be working higher through the period, with temps well above normal again on Wednesday ahead of our next front. Through those three days we will see good drying, with low humidity levels and evaporation from .18″-.25″ of moisture per day.
A strong front sweeps across the entire state Thursday. Precipitation starts late Thursday morning and goes through Thursday night, lingering into Mid-morning Friday in far eastern Ohio. Rain totals can be from .25″-.75″ with coverage at 90%. While thunderstorms are possible, we do not see them as a major threat at this time. That is a feature we will continue to watch.
Friday afternoon and Saturday should be mostly dry with clouds giving way to sun on Friday. Temps pull back closer to normal.
The rest of the 10 day period and the extended forecast window shows a relatively active pattern, with a system coming across the region every couple of days. We see scattered showers for Sunday the 13th. This wave so far does not have an exceptional amount of moisture with it, but we are watching to see if it wants to strengthen. At this point, we are expecting .25″-.5″. The rest of the extended period brings another system late the 16th into the 17th with .25-.75″ rains over 70% of the state. Then, closer to the 20th, we see a slower, sagging front coming in from the NW, and it can bring .25″-1″ over 60% of the state.
Temperatures are mostly normal to above normal through this next 2 week period. Excessive heat is not likely, but neither is a major cold air outbreak.