We will make a few tweaks to the forecast this morning, not really adding or subtracting moisture over Ohio, but rather moving it around in terms of its timing. Today looks like it may end up with a little more rainfall action statewide, and we are increasing our rain potential for Wednesday as well. As a tradeoff, we are dropping rain chances for Thursday, and will trend Friday drier as well, although we can’t rule out a few scattered pop up showers Friday, mostly south. Same story Friday night into early Saturday morning. While moisture tries to pop up over the weekend off to our west in Indiana and Illinois, we may escape here too. Our next good chance of moisture waits to develop until later Sunday afternoon and evening, into the start of next week. Still, we will look for rains through the balance of this week (today forward) to be from .25” to .75” over 90% of Ohio.
Next week is wetter. We have to put chances of rain and thunderstorms in each day, Monday through Thursday of next week. Now, the action may be geared toward 12-hour period in there, that allow for almost 24 hours in between the events, but still, on a daily basis, there is a chance every day. The rains can be substantial too, if thunderstorms do develop. Right now, we will put new rain totals in the .5”-1.5” range but may have to expand the upper end of the range as we get closer to the event, if instability points toward stronger and longer lasting thunderstorms. The map shows 7 day rain totals through next Tuesday morning.
In the extended period, we have a front for late the 21st into the 22nd that brings .25”-1” of rain to kick off the 11-16 day window, and then another front around the 26th that can bring equal rains. Both will end up with coverage around 80%.
Temps will begin to warm just a bit today, getting back to near normal, and we will be close to normal over most of the coming next 10 days. Well above normal temps are not expected (troublesome heat), but we can see some slightly above normal action into the weekend. Next week, if rains develop like we are seeing, that will keep temps down somewhat. This continues to be a great forecast for crop growth and development.