Dry today tomorrow and Saturday. The moisture and circulation to our north in Michigan and southern Ontario for Saturday does not look as robust and therefore we think we can keep moisture north of the entire state, rather than having to dodge some showers in the northern areas. That being said, there may be a few showers that try and sneak into far NE Ohio late on Saturday afternoon. Temps will be ramping up through the period and will be well above normal to start off the weekend.
Scattered showers remain on course to arrive here at some point overnight Sunday, but really our main precipitation event will be Monday and Tuesday. Showers and even some thunderstorms are likely to develop and have good coverage. We are putting rains mostly at .25″-1″ over 90% of Ohio, but can see a few isolated areas get closer to 1.5″ if thunderstorms develop just perfectly. The map at right shows rain totals combined through Tuesday night.
Dry weather for the rest of the week, from Wednesday through the weekend. Models still have some disagreement for the Wednesday afternoon-Thursday time frame, with the Euro still wet but no other model coming along for the ride. In fact, if anything, we see less moisture on the latest 2 euro runs than we had previously, so we are leaving our dry thoughts intact.
For the extended period, we have dry weather continues through the 23rd. Then we have a front for the 24th with half to 1 inch potential, followed by a return to dry weather for the 25th through at least the 27th. As we mentioned yesterday, if this forecast verifies, that means we have exactly 2 chances of significant moisture between now and the 27th. We need more than that.
Temperatures will be above normal through a majority of the next 10 days, to the tune of 2-5 degrees higher than regular daytime highs.