A cool front pushed into Ohio overnight, and we are looking at slightly cooler temps today. There can be some clouds lingering this morning and we wont rule out a renegade shower or two in northern Ohio. But generally, we should see sunshine emerge statewide today, especially this afternoon, and dry weather is back in control through the weekend.
Moisture from our next system is here later Monday, increasing in coverage and frequency overnight Monday. The best rains will be on Tuesday, and we think rains will linger into early Wednesday morning. In fact, there could be some strong thunderstorms Wednesday morning in east and NE Ohio. We are leaving general rain totals at .25”-1” with coverage at 80% of the state over the two-day period. However, our thunderstorm threat looks better than 24 hours ago, and therefore, we will leave the door open to higher rain totals where those thunderstorms develop. We also will not rule out some severe weather in a few spots. The map at right shows rain totals for the event through midnight Tuesday night.
We are dry by midday Wednesday, and have no change in our thoughts for Thursday. There, we still are looking for mostly dry weather, however we keep seeing potential for moisture from a second wave coming up our old front and move into far southern Indiana and SW Ohio. We are still of the opinion that this action will want to stay mostly south of the Ohio river, but will revisit this again on Monday. For now, we see no reason to deviate from our dry forecast. The dry pattern extends through Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
For the extended period, we do not see any significant frontal action to start. There can be some scattered showers developing around the 14th, but coverage looks less impressive this morning, and totals may end up only around a quarter of an inch or less. Better showers develop around the 17th, with .2”-.5” rain totals and 60% coverage.
Temps look cooler for a day or two behind our front early next week. Then we warm to normal and above normal levels again late next week and through the extended period.