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Market Analysis



Planning for high yielding soybeans

When planning for the upcoming growing season, it can be easy to focus more energy on corn production as it has traditionally been the more intensively managed crop. However, producers who put in the effort to manage their soybean crop have proven it is possible to attain high yields of …

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Break even point and yield estimates

With little bullish old crop news, corn continues to trade a very tight range. There continues to be too much grain in bins and farmers using deferred pricing (DP) to push prices higher. End users seem to have good coverage on. No one knows when or if this will change. …

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Neutral report, a yawner

Today’s USDA crop report looks to be dismissed and nearly soon forgotten if you believe the news stories prior to the noon release. Grains overnight were mixed with corn and wheat lower while soybeans were higher. The report today deals solely with the supply and demand report. Production numbers for …

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Finding weather trends

Corn continues to trade in a 20-cent range. Weather conditions appear favorable for early planting, which makes above trend-line yields possible. While some in the market estimate there is enough weather premium in Dec futures at $3.75, many think above average yields will bring $3 corn or lower.  Many farmers are …

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Running the farm as a business

A profitable farm is more complicated than planting crops and hoping they pay the bills at the end of the year. Farmers should consider their operations as a company with multiple profit centers working to a common goal. Each profit center must “pull its own weight” without drawing profits from …

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Grain marketing in baseball terms

Corn continues its sideways trade since harvest. Some have suggested that a chart pattern may signal a small rally in what is still a long-term bear market. However, the rally may be limited to just a dime near term. Longer term weather will be the biggest factor. Reports indicate U.S. …

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Too much grain, not enough demand

Goldman Sachs estimates that crude oil may trade below $20. Ethanol plants are running on extremely tight margins. ADM announced they may even sell some ethanol plants. Japan has interest rates at negative values to curb deflation. These headlines are not bullish long-term for corn and beans.  Combine this with good …

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