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Market Analysis

Set a marketing game plan

Corn USDA surprised Chicago analysts last week by reducing 2015 corn acres estimates — 200K planted but 500K harvested. This could reduce 2015 bushels by 80 to100 million, and ultimately support prices. Still questions remain: • Will harvested acres stay low? • Will USDA revise estimates in the future? • …

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Dollar drivers

A number of recent trading sessions have been marked by a frustrating pattern. Overnight, grains will start a brave little rally based on fundamental production worries like rained-out planting or flooded, sprouting wheat. At 7:00 a.m., they’ll be gaining a few cents to counteract the brutish losses of previous days, …

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Soybean basis selling strategy

There was a small rally for the week in corn and beans.  While nice to see, it was probably caused mostly by a drop in the value of the dollar. Speculators bought grain to cover their short positions and pocketed a little profit. A few small bad weather pockets (i.e. …

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Saving money to make money

Corn For corn, a significant rally will be difficult with the amount of unpriced old crop and another good growing year. End users tell me any board rallies will continue to shake some bushels loose. Many unpriced farmers continue to wait, because they don’t have an exit strategy. Some farmers …

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Precision grain marketing

While planting last week I looked at all the technology in the tractor cab, as auto-steer guided me down the field. It amazed me how sophisticated precision planting is. Farmers now use technology that puts the ideal number of seeds based upon field conditions with such precision to optimize yield. …

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Corn basis strategy

Corn The Tuesday USDA report didn’t hold any surprises last week. However, the Monday afternoon report showed farmers planted 40% of acres in one week. Some Chicago analysts say there is a downside to this quick corn planting. Weather within days of July 1 now becomes extremely critical for pollination …

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