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Market Analysis

Profiting in a sideways market

The latest crop condition estimates are the lowest since 2013 (corn down 2% and beans down 4%). Also, time is running out for the western half of Iowa to get enough rain to produce average corn yields. Forecasts shift every six hours, which contributes to farmer and market uncertainties. This …

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Grand slams vs. strike outs in marketing

There is no doubt it will be hot for the next few weeks, it’s mid-July after all. However, it’s the extent of dryness that is uncertain. Every day weather models show varying possibilities, which causes market fluctuations. Iowa, for example, is living on subsoil moisture reserves for now. This may …

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Selling hope to profit the farm

The market was surprised last week when the USDA increased corn acre planting estimates by 1 million. The USDA also indicated that stocks may be higher than the market was anticipating. These adjustments could really hurt the chances of a major corn rally for the rest of the year. At …

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Determining your breakeven

Corn Corn showed signs of life with hot and dry weather forecasted throughout the Midwest the next two weeks. Realistically prolonged dry weather is necessary for a significant rally since subsoil moisture has been plentiful. Trend line yields are definitely still possible. Two good rains (one after Father’s Day and another after …

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Identifying good brokers

Planting Progress On our farm in SE Nebraska corn planting is complete and beans are underway. The balance of the central corn states are making progress on corn plantings and are likely on pace with the five-year average. While north of I-90 weather is limiting planting. This is still within …

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