Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast, September 18, 2018

 

Dry weather returns to Ohio today, tomorrow, and Thursday. Today is a bit of a transition day, as we still are trying to see moisture from yesterday exit off to the east. Clouds will likely mix with sun today, but we see better sun potential through tomorrow and Thursday. Temps will stay above normal, relative humidity values low, and drying should become excellent.

Our moisture for late in the week and the weekend looks on target for Friday, less impressive on Saturday, and then still very, very impressive for Sunday. Therefore, overall, we are putting precipitation potential for the three-day period at .25”-1.9” with coverage at 80% of the state. Rain potential for Friday comes as a fairly minor front sags across the state through the day. Moisture totals will be mostly be under a third of an inch, and the general rains will be a tenth or two. Saturday there is nothing more than hit and miss scattered showers. However, on Sunday, we see strong thunderstorms moving through with heavy rain potential. Northern Ohio may escape, but the rest of the state sees good rains, and we wont rule out a farther north push too…that remains to be seen. The map at right shows rain potential through Monday morning.

Dry weather is back for next Monday, but the pattern looks to speed up with our next system next week. Rains can be in as soon as Tuesday late evening, and then go through Wednesday. Rain totals remain at half to 1.5” with coverage at 70%. As the rains move in sooner, they also move out sooner, and we think we can put together a dry finish to the week, Thursday into the weekend.  The rest of the extended 11-16 day period is wetter, with a strong front delayed back into the 29th and 30th, and then another low comes in from the NW for the 1st and 2nd. We could see half to 2 inches of rain combined from those two systems over the 4 days combined when we flip the calendar. Colder air comes in behind the front next week and reinforcing cool air comes behind that late system in early October.

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