Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast, May 13, 2019

The weather pattern remains mostly unfavorable for large scale drying over the next 10 days. We have trouble putting together more than a day or two of true dryness with good evaporation in a row. That’s not to say we wont get ANY field work done, but it will not be easy either.


Today, we see another mostly cloudy, cool day over most of the state with scattered likely through the day. Coverage will be around 90%. Rain totals will end up being from a few hundredths to .25” …which is not a lot, but it does mean we just do not dry down very much today. Another round of cold air races in tonight, and we have a threat of frost in northern areas overnight. Tomorrow may end up being the best day of the week, as we turn out partly to mostly sunny and see temps rebound. Evaporation will be near a maximum level tomorrow.


Clouds return Wednesday, perhaps not right away in the morning, but soon thereafter. Scattered light showers spread across the state near or after sunset but only end up with about 25% coverage and minor totals. This is more about slowing the drying process than picking up a bunch of moisture. Thursday turns out partly sunny.


Rain and thunderstorms race into the state Thursday night and Friday, and we end up with some good rains from that event. Right now we look for .25”-1” rains with 80% coverage. Saturday turns out partly sunny over all of Ohio.


Sunday starts with sunshine, but clouds return quickly, bringing showers and thunderstorms from late Sunday afternoon through the overnight. Moisture totals have a wide range here, from .2″ to .9″ 80% coverage. Thunderstorms will be the main driver of the heavier rain totals.


An “on-again-off-again” moisture pattern develops for early next week. Scattered showers are possible Monday with 80% coverage and .1″-.6″ rain totals. Tuesday features a mix of clouds and sun, but little to no additional moisture threat. Then Wednesday scattered showers are back with a few hundredths to half an inch possible, but only 40% coverage. So, while there will be holes in precipitation, it will be difficult to get well spread drying across Ohio for that period. The map at right shows 10 day rain totals for the state.


For our extended forecast, we start with a dry day for Thursday the 23rd, featuring partly sunny skies. Rain returns next Friday ,but only in southern Ohio, where we can see up to .8” over the southern third to quarter of the state. There should be nothing going in central and northern Ohio. Three (3!) dry days are possible from the 25th through the 27th with partly to mostly sunny skies. We finish the extended window with a chance of showers in the northern third of the state for the 28th.

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