Scattered showers are back in over the state today, after most of the region picked up a few hours of rain free weather yesterday into last night. The action today features better chances this afternoon and evening than this morning, but the overall feel of the day will be wet. We look for a few hundredths to .4″with coverage at around 60%. Rain and thunderstorm action picks up for tomorrow, with rains of .25”-1” and 90% coverage. Then on Saturday we see another round of precipitation, mostly from I-70 southward. We can see thunderstorms near the Ohio River. Rain totals end up from .1”-4” in most areas, but down near the river we can see those thunderstorms trigger rains of half to 1.5″, and even some strong to severe weather. Coverage will end up being around 80% of the area from I-70 southward, but we have nothing really up north. Sunday starts with some lingering leftover showers in eastern parts of the state, in the morning, but that action gives way to some afternoon sunshine. Monday brings mostly sunny skies.
Sun will be followed by increasing clouds on Tuesday, with scattered showers and thunderstorms showing up later in the afternoon and evening. We like rain totals from .25″-.75″ from I-70 northward and 60% coverage. Moisture fills in some more for next Wednesday, bringing another .1″-.6″ and 60% coverage. Then Thursday rain and thunderstorms will be moving through . That action stays mostly north of US 20 in the morning, but from midday through Thursday night into Friday morning, it moves through the rest of the state. Combined we see half to 2 inch rain totals there with coverage at 100% of the state. These days combined will bring another significant batch of rain to all of Ohio. The maps at right shows moisture from this morning through next Friday morning…8 day rain totals.
Clearing works in for next Friday afternoon, and for now we can say we don’t expect any new precipitation through the weekend, Saturday and Sunday, the 11th and 12th. That takes us into the extended 11-16 day forecast window. Unfortunately, the dry period ends there, and at max evaporation, that means we lose .75” of moisture for the period, after picking up half to 2 inches immediately before…so, no net drying there.
Showers return for Monday the 13th, coming in from the SW and spreading northeast across the state. Rain totals can be from .25”-.9” with 100% coverage. Then after a drier window from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, showers develop again for Thursday and Friday, the 16th and 17th. In that batch, we have moisture totals at .25”-1.5”, with the upper third of the range limited mostly to thunderstorm development. Still, it means we really do not see any good, sustainable drying over the state. Field work expectations still have to be pretty low through mid-month.