Showers and thunderstorms today can bring half to 1.5″ rain totals. Tomorrow rains continue over the southern half of the state, adding another .1″-.6″. Coverage of today’s rains are 100%, and coverage in the south tomorrow will be 80%. The northern half of Ohio will see clouds and sun for Friday afternoon.
Scattered showers return Saturday afternoon, starting in northern Ohio and working their way south. Rains continue through Sunday, and can bring anywhere from .25″-1″ to 80% of the state. The map at right shows rain totals through Sunday evening.
No change in the start of next week with two dry for Monday and Tuesday. We see drier potential for late in the week too, on Thursday into Friday. Yesterday we took Wednesday drier and the entire week through the weekend drier as well. This morning, we continue to look for that, although models are still not putting together a fully convincing argument, and some have gone a little wetter again. For now, we are leaving our new drier forecast alone, and will take a look at new data through the day today. We at least need Wednesday to be fully dry to put together a good window. If our forecast holds, that would give at least 5 dry days in a row next week.
The weekend is a point of contention this morning. Models have inserted some threatening moisture to our west for overnight Friday night and Saturday. This is a tough call, but we have to at least look for a chance of moisture there, for the time being. There is a chance that moisture misses, like we saw yesterday, but we need to keep the chance in mind, and be ready to go as soon as possible, because of concern about any window closing sooner than we are seeing at the moment.
A new look at the extended period, has us dry now Saturday afternoon through Tuesday morning (11th), but then chances of rain from Tuesday afternoon through Friday the 14th, with combined totals of half to 1” and 80% coverage. However, confidence is low in timing and amounts…there has been such a wet pattern over the past few weeks, even models are having trouble zeroing in on dry breaks in the pattern.