A mixed bag over the state today, as we start to feel some of the effects of Barry working in. Moisture potential increases through the day from the SW north and east, as these moisture bands swirl through the OH valley. The action continues to ramp up overnight tonight and through tomorrow. Rain totals can be in a wide range from this event, from nearly nothing in some areas to nearly 2” in some others. Rain coverage will be about 70% of the state. However, this moisture is coming a little faster, which means it may leave faster too…we think that we start Thursday with sunshine, and we see most of that sun hold over Ohio through the rest of Thursday.
Our intermediate forecast is drier now, with a mostly dry period from Friday through the weekend. There can be some clouds over the state Thursday which may trigger a shower or two, but generally, we are dry and warm for the period. Temperatures stay well above normal.
We also are drier early next week. A weak front does sag south and east across the region on Monday, but rain totals look significantly smaller this morning, from a few hundredths to .25” over 60% of the state Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. By Tuesday mid-morning, all rain should be south of the Ohio River. Behind that, we are dry for the balance of Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. The map at right shows 10 day rain potential…most of which comes from the next 48 hours.
The extended period can feature some pop up heat based thunderstorms for Friday and Saturday, but then we get a better organized system for Sunday the 28th and Monday the 29th over the region, with rain totals from .1”-.5” and coverage at 70%. The atmosphere may attempt to build in a little more of an active pattern to finish the 16 day forecast window, with additional showers and thunderstorms for the 30th and 31st, bringing rain totals combined at .5”-1.5” and coverage of 60%