Expect a mix of clouds and sun today, as we transition farther away from the frontal boundary that passed Monday night into yesterday. Wrap around and backside moisture still can be in play today, and because of that we can’t rule out a shower or two over the eastern third of Ohio .However, the rest of the state should see that sun/cloud mix, and generally a pretty nice day.
We are sunny, dry and warm tomorrow through next Monday. Temperatures will be slowly building through the period, and will be above normal on average. The warmest days will be here this weekend and next Monday.
Rains move into northern Ohio next Tuesday, starting in the NW, but areas south of I-70 stay partly to mostly sunny. Rain from I-70 north through Tuesday will be from .05”-.5” with coverage at 70%. We return to sunny and dry weather for next Wednesday through Friday midday statewide. That means southern Ohio likely goes well over a week until we get to a rain chance there. The map at right shows rain potential through next Friday morning.
The next chance for full state coverage of rain comes right at the transition from the 10-day period to the extended forecast window. Sun will be followed by increasing clouds next Friday afternoon, the 9th, with showers and thunderstorms arriving later by and evening. Strong thunderstorms are possible in SW Ohio. That push of moisture yields .25”-1” rain totals. Then, on Saturday the 10th, rain and thunderstorm action continues to push through, and can bring an additional .25”-1”. That puts two-day rain totals from half to 2” on coverage of 100% statewide. Generally, rains will mostly fall in that .5”-1” range and anything higher will depend fully on where thunderstorms develop and their intensity.
Clouds give way to sun on Sunday the 11th, and then we end up with a mostly dry set up for Monday through Wednesday, the 12th-14th. However, the key there is the “mostly” qualifier. During that period we see higher humidity values, along with higher temps, and that can trigger some instability. Because of that, we can’t completely rule out some pop up showers, but coverage will be limited to 30% or less on any of those days.
We finish out the extended period with a final system around the 15th, bringing rain and potentially heavy thunderstorms. Rain totals initially look to be from .25”-1.25” with 90% coverage.