No change in the overall forecast today. We stay unsettled and active in the near term, with scattered showers and storms. However, late next week we are seeing the pattern change to a drier one. More on that in a bit.
Today, we turn out partly sunny but we stay humid in most areas. Sun will be followed by late day clouds. A disturbance is moving across MI today, and the southern fringe of that system will work into NW Ohio late this afternoon and evening. Through the overnight and a good chunk of tomorrow, we will see showers and in a few spots rumples of thunder work southeast across Ohio. We project rain totals of .1″-.7″ with coverage at 60% of Ohio. Clouds start to break up with more frequency tomorrow night.
Sunday will be partly to mostly sunny and rain free. However, on Monday we have rain and thunderstorms back as a frontal complex crosses Ohio. Rain totals can be .25″-1.5″ over 75% of Ohio. Clouds linger through most of Tuesday. We wont rule out a renegade shower Tuesday, especially early, but any additional rain totals will not be significant. Wednesday and Thursday feature a lot of sun, with clouds building late Thursday afternoon.
Showers and storms return overnight Thursday night and Friday. We can see .25″-1″ over 80% of the state. However, behind that front we see much drier air rush in. Humidity values drop dramatically and temps will cool off for Friday night and the start of the weekend. The cool, dry, pleasant set up holds through the rest of the weekend and for the start of the week of the 21st. In fact, we are seeing very little chance of moisture out to our west, and as such are projecting that the second half of August will be quite a bit drier than the first half. However, the map below still shows the next 10 days at above normal moisture for a lot of the state.