Weather

OH_Ag_Net-1

No major changes in our forecast this morning. Cold air is definitely here, and if we are looking for something to try and make you feel better this morning, we could try by mentioning “it will be much colder for much longer next week?” That probably fails, but it is the truth. We have a reinforcing shot of cold air coming into the region this weekend and it holds all week next week. Precipitation is just a bit of icing on the inclement weather cake this morning. Let’s walk through it.

Some light snows pop up over the northern half of the state tomorrow night into early Friday. We do not expect anything more than a coating to an inch from I-70 northward, and most of the snow will be north of US 30. By midday Friday, this action is pretty much gone. We should see clouds breaking for some sun in the north the rest of Friday, and a fairly nice day all day in the south on Friday.… Continue reading

Cold air dominates the state the rest of this week. We are mostly dry here for the next few day and sunshine will make it look better than it really is, once you step outside. We won’t rule out the odd flurry in the north through Thursday, especially near the lake, but that will be a minimal occurrence.  Temps will be a good 10-2 degrees below normal for this time of year and we will see our first sub-zero temperature readings overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning The coldest will be in a zone from US 30 down to I-70.

On the backside of the high we start to see south winds develop and that may lead to a bit of temperature moderation for the balance of Thursday and the first half of Friday. This will be ahead of our next fast moving clipper system for Friday late afternoon through Saturday.… Continue reading

Scattered light precipitation moves across the state today, but really has very little moisture to truly work with. Right now we will look for a few hundredths to a tenth or two over 50% of the state. A lot of the moisture may end up coming out as clouds and spotty drizzle. Still, we can’t call the day precip free, even if action is very, very light. Better action develops overnight tonight into tomorrow. The best rains are south, and far NW Ohio may miss out on precipitation. However, we are leaving rain totals at .1” to 1.25”, and that upper end range total will be limited to areas near the river in south central Ohio. The heaviest rains remain farther south in KY, but probably do not move north with any regularity.

We are dry from Saturday afternoon to midday Sunday. Weak high pressure drifts across the state in that period and acts as a bit of a place holder in there while cold, arctic air starts to blast in.… Continue reading

Only a couple more mild days before we turn markedly colder Today looks very nice, with temps above normal, winds slowly switching around to the west-southwest, and a decent amount of sunshine. However, tomorrow, even though we stay mild, we have clouds starting to push in and we have to keep the umbrellas handy, as scattered, light precipitation develops. We are looking at a few hundredths to no more than a tenth in spots, and coverage will be 50% or less, but still, it’s a change in the overall pattern.

We continue to focus on Friday night as things start to get more active. We are tweaking the forecast some for the rains on Saturday, as they do not make it as far south, but still have the potential to be strong to the south, if thunderstorms can develop. Scattered showers pick up in intensity over southern Indiana and moisture spreads north.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171220

Short term offers no change this morning. We have nothing different for today, tomorrow and even Friday. The next two days we see a similar pattern to yesterday, with a mix of clouds and sun. However, a cold front did slip through overnight, so temps may be slightly colder today than yesterday. On Friday we have clouds thickening up, and we can’t rule out some minor spits and sprinkles giving no more than a few hundredths to a tenth over about 40% of the state.

Friday night gets a lot more active and that pattern continues through Saturday and even into early Sunday. Rains look to be very impressive and we are bumping up our top end of our rain range. WE are now calling for weekend rains of .25”-1.5” with the heavy rains staying in southern Ohio. We will not rule out thunderstorms in those heavy rain areas.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171219

No change in the outlook today. We still look pretty good for the next few days. We dry out, stay above normal for temps, and see better sunshine chances through Thursday. Winds go west at a moderate clip today, and stay like that through Thursday as well

Friday, winds turn more southwest, and clouds move in. Friday itself we do not see an exceptional amount of precipitation – only a few hundredths to a tenth or two over about 40% of the state. But, that action ramps up overnight Friday night through Saturday morning, where we see rains of .25”-.75” over 90% of the state. There still a threat of thunderstorm action down in far southern Ohio, near the river. In those areas, we can see some rain totals pushing closer to 1”.

For the rest of Saturday and most of Sunday we dry back down, but we see much colder air starting to push in from the NW.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171218

We have a fairly calm start to the week. Moisture so far over Ohio has been pretty minor. We do have to deal with lingering moisture through the day today, and in many cases, but we do not expect much. With the clouds we are only looking at minor precipitation, spits and sprinkles here and there, for a total of no more than a few hundredths to .15” over 40% of the state.

Tomorrow, Wednesday and Thursday look dry with better sunshine potential. Temps remain normal to above normal and we will see no snow left anywhere in the state by late this week (there is only minor snow cover remaining in northern Indiana as of this morning anyway, a lot of which was in areas that have not been able to see as much sun. We see good west winds through the period, with a turn to the strong southwest not likely until late in the week.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171215

High pressure drifts across the state from NW to SE today, ending up in central WV tonight. That track for high pressure also means we see colder air holding over the north. With west winds, developing, we can’t rule out some lake effect snow in NE Ohio later today, and then going into tomorrow, that can stretch back west to include the entire south shore of Lake Erie for Saturday morning. While all that is going on in the north (no lake snow makes it south of US 30, and may even stay farther north than that in many places), southwest winds begin to moderate temperatures later today and especially tomorrow. This moderation continues through Sunday, as our next system arrives.

Rains do not move into the state until late Sunday afternoon and evening. They work through from west to east rather quickly, and all action will be done by Sunrise Monday morning.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171214

No change in thought process this morning. Snow is pushing off to the east this morning, with action only around over the eastern third of the state and leaving quickly. The best snows are already in the Appalachians. We stay cold for a couple of days behind last night’s clipper system as north winds dominate, but temperature moderation going to attempt a push into the state this weekend.

High pressure behind the system keeps us dry today into most of tomorrow. We have to keep an eye on some lake snow potential both days, but that mostly lingers in the northeast. Sunshine should be a dominant player over central, western and southern parts of Ohio, but clouds will likely hold firmer up north. Temps will continue to moderate statewide Saturday, with only north central and northeast Ohio staying closer to freezing.

Sunday looks wet, but not until later in the afternoon.… Continue reading

Mother Nature becomes a little bi-polar in our latest forecast. We have cold air that wants to stay in control through the end of this week, but it has to endure some moderating pushes coming from the south and west. Then, next week, we look to get warm enough that approaching systems have more rain potential than snow. Overall, we are lowering our expectations of a white Christmas down to about a 20% chance – but we still can be bailed for a white Christmas by a Christmas day storm.  Here is how we see it at this time.

A warm front tries to lift into west central and southwest Ohio today, but cannot get much farther north and east than that. The low pressure center that spawned this warm front will work into west and NW Ohio later this afternoon, and crosses the rest of the state overnight. We should see some snows associated with that low passage.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171212

Snow will overspread the state today, with some significant lake effect snows in the northeast quadrant of Ohio. Snow coverage may not be quite as significant with 60% coverage of at least some snow, but the 2-5 inch totals in NE Ohio are still right on target, and will be around already this morning.  While the snow tapers off in intensity and coverage this afternoon, we expect some hit and miss snow flurries to be around through the overnight and in spots even for the first half of tomorrow.

However, our next clipper is in faster, with snows developing Wednesday afternoon and going into early Thursday. We are increasing snow coverage to 80% of the state, and we will ride with 1-4 inch snows from NW Ohio across central and eastern parts of the state. Areas that do not see the 1 inch total can easily see a coating to an inch.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 171211

Cold air continues to park over the state today. Winds out of the west/southwest this morning never really are able to moderate temps a whole lot today, and we actually look for lake effect snow to become more and more of an issue as the day wears on along the southern shores of Lake Erie. However, the rest of the state away from the lakes and south will be dry today. Clouds will mix with sunshine while the cold air stays. Then tonight and tomorrow the lake snows will interact with a minor low that moves across Michigan into Ohio overnight. Snows in the NE quadrant could be in the 2-5 inch range overnight tonight, and by sunrise tomorrow, we could see 60% coverage of some light snow over the state with minor accumulations. .

The minor snow bands continue off and on tonight through tomorrow, but will have coverage limited to only about 30% of the state at any given time.… Continue reading

171208

After hit and miss snows yesterday winds push back to the west and that should yield a mix of sun and clouds through the day, but cold air is still the main feature.

A clipper system continues its path towards us for tomorrow. This system brings some snow back to Ohio, and we can see anywhere from a coating to 2 inches over about 70% of the state. The southern third of the state may be limited to a dusting, but all told, we see snow developing by mid to late morning, and then going through midnight tomorrow night. Higher totals will be seen along the southern shore of Lake Erie and in typical NE Ohio lake effect areas. The map above gives some ideas about snow potential for tomorrow.  We finish the weekend on Sunday with very little new snow. We can see some additional lake effect flurries in parts of northeast Ohio, but coverage will be somewhat spotty.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 12-7-17

Very cold air is in over the state today, and it will produce some snow. Lake effect snows will be seen today in far northeast parts of the state and just inland off the south shore of Lake Erie. In addition, we do see clouds and a little moisture setting up in far southern OH, south of US 50, and that can bring some minor snows as well. Accumulations over a dusting are not expected south (we even can see a bit of rain trying to mix in in spots), but we can see the lake snows bring slightly better snow potential.

For the weekend, a reinforcing shot of cold air is coming and we have a quick moving clipper like system that brings snows for Saturday. The lakes will enhance some of the snow up north, but we think there is potential for a coating to an inch over about 50% of the state on more insulated surfaces.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 12-6-17

Much colder air has moved into the state and will park here for a while. West winds today will not be as strong as yesterday, but will still bring the potential for some good lake effect snows in far northeast parts of Ohio. Most of the state will be dry today with sunshine, but those west winds will be able to pick up some good moisture along the fetch of Lake Erie. Tomorrow, winds move back more to the NW, and that will increase lake effect snow potential along the southern shore of the Lake. However, this moisture does not look to go very far, so again, most of the state will see little to no precipitation tomorrow and sunshine will be a big player in all areas…even working through in some of these lake effect areas. Friday looks to be back to more of a westerly wind, and so just a mix of clouds and sun expected there.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 12-5-17

Rains continue to march across the state today as a cold front sweeps through. Combined with rains that have already fallen across the state, we should see this rain totals climb to .25”-.75” and coverage at 90%. Rain will be done near midday in NW and west central Ohio, but it will take until mid to late afternoon for the last of the rains to exit east and southeast Ohio. There may be some breaks in the clouds late this afternoon in western parts of the state, but with the dramatic air temperature change, a lot of blue sky is not likely.

Much colder air is in for the rest of the week with strong westerly flow tonight through tomorrow. This will trigger some lake effect snows in far NE parts of the state, as those west winds end up running the length of Lake Erie. These lake effect snows can be impressive tomorrow and Thursday.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 12-4-17

Strong winds will develop by midday today over almost all of Ohio.  These winds are ahead of a cold front that should sweep through tomorrow, starting very early tomorrow morning (shortly after midnight) and going through the mid to late afternoon. We should see clouds increase through this afternoon, but in a bit of good news this morning, we have no concern about any moisture in NW Ohio, which we did mention last time we talked last week.  The strong winds will be at least 15-30 mph sustained today, and will take temps well above normal one more time.

As we mentioned, the cold front comes through tomorrow and will bring precipitation from roughly 3 AM through mid tomorrow afternoon.  Action should be out of the state tomorrow before sunset and that means we are looking at about 12 hours’ worth of precipitation potential – that is about it.… Continue reading

Rayn Martin 12-1-17

No change in the short term forecast through next Tuesday. Behind the front that moved through yesterday, we have dry weather in for today, tomorrow and Sunday. Temps will be normal to above normal for daytime highs, but normal overnight (which is much cooler than we have become accustomed to recently). Sunshine will dominate through the period.

Monday we start to see good southwest winds develop and most of the state will see another dry day with sunshine slowly followed by increasing clouds. Yesterday we mentioned our concern about some fringe moisture working into far NW Ohio for Monday. That moisture looks less impressive this morning, but we still can’t completely rule it out. Our feeling is that most of it will stay well west and north of us. But, there will at least be some clouds around as early as Monday morning and we still won’t rule out action over about 30% of far NW OH.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 11-30-17

Keep the umbrella handy today. A weak cold front moving across the state this afternoon and evening, and we still expect it to trigger some minor precipitation. Right now we have no reason to deviate from our thoughts of a few hundredths to a tenth or two, most of the state will be in the lower part of that range. In fact, if we get just a little lucky, we can escape with just spits and sprinkles in many areas. Still, we are moving coverage up to near 80% of the state getting at least a little wet, and only SW OH has a chance of completely missing out.  There just is not a lot of moisture to work with here. Action is done by midnight tonight, and we should see a decent sunrise in most areas tomorrow morning.

Dry weather is back behind the front for tomorrow through the weekend.… Continue reading

Ryan Martin 11-29-17

Another dry day today as high pressure starts to leave the region. Southwest winds will dominate once again but won’t be as strong as yesterday. We should see sunshine over a large part of the state, but clouds will be trying to increase, especially this afternoon with an approaching cold front. That front will not impact us until likely midday tomorrow. Moisture remains unimpressive and we will keep rain totals at a few hundredths to .3”, but honestly, most areas will be .2” or less. Coverage for tomorrow’s rains come in at 70%. Action develops near or shortly after noon, and is gone by midnight.

Behind the front, we have drier weather back for a good 4 days and high pressure dominates. We cool off for Friday, but should see a slow build in temps through the weekend. The biggest hint of our being in a cooler air mass behind the front will be morning lows, as we should dip below freezing Friday morning, Saturday morning and even in a few spots Sunday morning.… Continue reading